Elections Intelligence

Grace Meng

NY-6U.S. House H architectural icon
INCUMBENT Safe D Strong favorite
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Meng is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Meng at 99.7¢ against Chou's 1.6¢, up 1.4¢ since August 3. Meng leads 788.9 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Meng · Democratic contract
99.7¢
▲ 1.4¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Grace Meng by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.9¢ · low 97.8¢Oct 12
Grace MengDemocratic · incumbent
99.7¢
Joseph ChouRepublican
1.6¢

1,398 traded · 1,386 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Meng v Chou

Metric by metric
Meng
Chou
99.7¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
1.6¢
$2.03M
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$2.6K
$1.03M
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$4.1K
U.S. Representativesince 2013
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

New York 6th District
Prior result
D+23.0

2024 general election, won by Grace Meng.

Fundraising
788.9 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.