Gwen Moore · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Moore is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Moore at 99.4¢ against Rogers's 1.7¢, up 1.4¢ since August 3.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Moore · Democratic contract

99.4¢

▲ 1.4¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Gwen Moore by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.6¢ · low 98¢Oct 12

Gwen MooreDemocratic · incumbent

99.4¢

Tim RogersRepublican

1.7¢

1,046 traded · 813 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Moore v Rogers

Metric by metric

Moore

Rogers

99.4¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

1.7¢

$1.07M

RaisedFEC, through July 22

No total for Tim Rogers: no report covering this period is on file with the Federal Election Commission.

$28.6K

Cash on handFEC, through July 22

—

U.S. Representativesince 2005

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Wisconsin 4th District

Prior result

D+52.4

2024 general election, won by Gwen Moore.