Elections Intelligence

Betty McCollum

MN-4U.S. House H architectural icon
INCUMBENT Safe D Strong favorite
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

McCollum is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has McCollum at 96.8¢ against Wikstrom's 4.4¢, up 2.8¢ since August 3. McCollum leads 44.6 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
McCollum · Democratic contract
96.8¢
▲ 2.8¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Betty McCollum by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 97¢ · low 90.3¢Oct 12
Betty McCollumDemocratic · incumbent
96.8¢
Paul WikstromRepublican
4.4¢

22,117 traded · 6,897 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

McCollum v Wikstrom

Metric by metric
McCollum
Wikstrom
96.8¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
4.4¢
$1.25M
RaisedFEC, through July 22
$28.0K
$498.7K
Cash on handFEC, through July 22
$2.2K
U.S. Representativesince 2001
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Minnesota 4th District
Prior result
D+34.7

2024 general election, won by Betty McCollum.

Fundraising
44.6 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 22.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.