Elections Intelligence

Gregory W. Meeks

NY-5U.S. House H architectural icon
INCUMBENT Safe D Strong favorite
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Meeks is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Meeks at 99.5¢ against Marsh's 1.7¢, up 2.2¢ since August 3.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Meeks · Democratic contract
99.5¢
▲ 2.2¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Gregory W. Meeks by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.9¢ · low 97.3¢Oct 12
Gregory W. MeeksDemocratic · incumbent
99.5¢
George MarshRepublican
1.7¢

4,005 traded · 2,877 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Meeks v Marsh

Metric by metric
Meeks
Marsh
99.5¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
1.7¢
$1.74M
RaisedFEC, through June 30
No filing on file for George Marsh with the Federal Election Commission.
$2.01M
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
—
U.S. Representativesince 1997
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

New York 5th District
Prior result
D+45.7

2024 general election, won by Gregory W. Meeks.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.