Lisa C. McClain · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

McClain is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has McClain at 97.9¢ against Pooley's 3.6¢, up 1.5¢ since August 3. McClain leads 648.5 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

McClain · Republican contract

97.9¢

▲ 1.5¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Lisa C. McClain by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 98¢ · low 94.8¢Oct 12

Lisa C. McClainRepublican · incumbent

97.9¢

Ray PooleyDemocratic

3.6¢

6,401 traded · 1,828 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

McClain v Pooley

Metric by metric

McClain

Pooley

97.9¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

3.6¢

$5.24M

RaisedFEC, through July 15

$8.1K

$1.54M

Cash on handFEC, through July 15

$4.9K

U.S. Representativesince 2021

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Michigan 9th District

Prior result

R+35.2

2024 general election, won by Lisa C. McClain.

Fundraising

648.5 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 15.