Tracey Mann · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Mann is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Mann at 97.9¢ against Reinhold's 4.4¢, up 4.1¢ since August 3. Mann leads 30.8 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Mann · Republican contract

97.9¢

▲ 4.1¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Tracey Mann by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 98¢ · low 93.8¢Oct 12

Tracey MannRepublican · incumbent

97.9¢

Lauren ReinholdDemocratic

4.4¢

3,797 traded · 2,845 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Mann v Reinhold

Metric by metric

Mann

Reinhold

97.9¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

4.4¢

$1.49M

RaisedFEC, through July 15

$48.3K

$2.71M

Cash on handFEC, through July 15

$4.8K

U.S. Representativesince 2021

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Kansas 1st District

Prior result

R+38.3

2024 general election, won by Tracey Mann.

Fundraising

30.8 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 15.