Elections Intelligence

Kweisi Mfume

MD-7U.S. House H architectural icon
INCUMBENT Safe D Strong favorite
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Mfume is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Mfume at 98.5¢ against Collier's 4.3¢, up 2.3¢ since August 3.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Mfume · Democratic contract
98.5¢
▲ 2.3¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Kweisi Mfume by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.9¢ · low 96.2¢Oct 12
Kweisi MfumeDemocratic · incumbent
98.5¢
Scott M. CollierRepublican
4.3¢

463 traded · 462 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Mfume v Collier

Metric by metric
Mfume
Collier
98.5¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
4.3¢
$415.2K
RaisedFEC, through June 30
No total for Scott M. Collier: no report covering this period is on file with the Federal Election Commission.
$702.8K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
—
U.S. Representativesince 2020
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Maryland 7th District
Prior result
D+63.1

2024 general election, won by Kweisi Mfume.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.