Elections Intelligence

George Latimer

NY-16U.S. House H architectural icon
INCUMBENT Safe D Strong favorite
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Latimer is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Latimer at 99.5¢ against Cinquemani's 4.5¢, up 8.4¢ since August 3.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Latimer · Democratic contract
99.5¢
▲ 8.4¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on George Latimer by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.9¢ · low 91.1¢Oct 12
George LatimerDemocratic · incumbent
99.5¢
Joseph J. CinquemaniRepublican
4.5¢

657 traded · 497 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Latimer v Cinquemani

Metric by metric
Latimer
Cinquemani
99.5¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
4.5¢
$514.0K
RaisedFEC, through June 30
No total for Joseph J. Cinquemani: no report covering this period is on file with the Federal Election Commission.
$100.7K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
—
U.S. Representativesince 2025
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

New York 16th District
Prior result
D+43.0

2024 general election, won by George Latimer.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.