Summer L. Lee · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Lee is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Lee at 98.4¢ against Hayes's 2.4¢, up 2.3¢ since August 3. Lee leads 36.5 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Lee · Democratic contract

98.4¢

▲ 2.3¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Summer L. Lee by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.7¢ · low 95.3¢Oct 12

Summer L. LeeDemocratic · incumbent

98.4¢

James HayesRepublican

2.4¢

60,495 traded · 58,345 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Lee v Hayes

Metric by metric

Lee

Hayes

98.4¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

2.4¢

$1.47M

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$40.1K

$1.65M

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$9.5K

U.S. Representativesince 2023

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Pennsylvania 12th District

Prior result

D+12.8

2024 general election, won by Summer L. Lee.

Fundraising

36.5 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.