Elections Intelligence

Stephen F. Lynch

MA-8U.S. House H architectural icon
INCUMBENT Safe D Strong favorite
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Lynch is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market prices a Democratic hold of the seat at 99.5¢, a price on the party and not on Lynch. Lynch leads 596.8 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

No price is quoted on this candidate: no contract on this candidate in the market.

Robert Gerald BurkeRepublican
4.3¢
Stephen F. LynchDemocratic
no contract on this candidate in the market

534 traded · 447 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Lynch v Burke

Metric by metric
Lynch
Burke
No contract on Stephen F. Lynch in this market.
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
4.3¢
$910.2K
RaisedFEC, through August 12 and September 30
$1.5K
$642.3K
Cash on handFEC, through August 12 and September 30
$-16966
U.S. Representativesince 2001
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Massachusetts 8th District
Prior result
D+41.0

2024 general election, won by Stephen F. Lynch.

Fundraising
596.8 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through September 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.