Rick Larsen · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Larsen is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Larsen at 97.8¢ against Feller's 3.8¢, down 1.3¢ since August 3.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Larsen · Democratic contract

97.8¢

▼ 1.3¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Rick Larsen by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.8¢ · low 96¢Oct 12

Rick LarsenDemocratic · incumbent

97.8¢

Edwin H. FellerRepublican

3.8¢

1,035 traded · 799 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Larsen v Feller

Metric by metric

Larsen

Feller

97.8¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

3.8¢

$2.04M

RaisedFEC, through July 15

No total for Edwin H. Feller: no report covering this period is on file with the Federal Election Commission.

$652.1K

Cash on handFEC, through July 15

—

U.S. Representativesince 2001

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Washington 2nd District

Prior result

D+28.0

2024 general election, won by Rick Larsen.