Frank D. Lucas · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Lucas is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Lucas at 97.9¢ against Byrd's 2.5¢, up 0.3¢ since August 3.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Lucas · Republican contract

97.9¢

▲ 0.3¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Frank D. Lucas by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.8¢ · low 97.5¢Oct 12

Frank D. LucasRepublican · incumbent

97.9¢

Suzie ByrdDemocratic

2.5¢

13,807 traded · 2,814 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Lucas v Byrd

Metric by metric

Lucas

Byrd

97.9¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

2.5¢

$907.3K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

No total for Suzie Byrd: no report covering this period is on file with the Federal Election Commission.

$532.5K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

—

U.S. Representativesince 1993

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Oklahoma 3rd District

Prior result

Unopposed

2024 general election, won by Frank D. Lucas with no vote held.