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Teresa Leger Fernandez

U.S. House H architectural icon OfficeHouse Democratic Likely to win
INCUMBENT ON THE 2026 BALLOT LIKELY D KALSHI · 94.5¢ · CHECKED 1:29 AM ET
WHAT THE SIGNAL READS ON FERNANDEZ
THE SEAT THEY ARE IN

Likely D

Teresa Leger Fernandez is the sitting U.S. Representative for New Mexico's 3rd district and is defending it, a seat the band rates Likely D. The market prices their contract at 94.5¢ against Zamora's 6.9¢, up 3.9¢ across 25 observation days; and they have raised 2.8 dollars for every one of Zamora's.

MARKET · PARTY WINNER Kalshi ↗
Teresa Leger Fernandez · Democratic · KXHOUSERACE-NM03-26-D

94.5¢

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Teresa Leger Fernandez by name.

▲ 3.9¢

since Aug 3

2026-08-0325 observation days · high 94.9¢ · low 90.6¢2026-09-21
Teresa Leger Fernandez Democratic · incumbent
94.5¢

Settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on this candidate by name.

Martin Zamora Republican
6.9¢

Settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on this candidate by name.

DEPTH ON THIS BOOK 4,538 traded · 3,241 open

Sides may not sum to 100. Prices are the yes ask. checked 1:29 AM ET

FERNANDEZ AGAINST ZAMORA · METRIC BY METRIC
Fernandez
Zamora
MARKETchecked 1:29 AM ET

94.5¢

6.9¢

RAISED THIS CYCLEFederal Election Commission, through June 30, 2026

$1.25M

2.8:1 against Martin Zamora

$441K

WHAT THEY HOLD NOW

U.S. Representative

New Mexico's 3rd district · since 2025 · defending it

Holds no office

Challenger

THE 2026 RACE · NEW MEXICO 3RD DISTRICT
LATEST POLLNot yet collectedno qualifying public poll retrieved for this race
PRIOR MARGIN+12.572024 general election · verified against official results
STANDING · THIS SEAT
+12.572024 general election margin — verified against official results
2.8:1fundraising ratio v Zamora · FEC period 06-30
FUNDRAISING
$1.25Mraised
$667.0Kcash on hand
through June 30, 2026 · checked Aug 31
· Zamora: $440.6K / $242.6K CoH
COMPARE V ZAMORA ⇄