Timothy M. Kennedy · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Kennedy is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Kennedy at 99.3¢ against Hannon's 3.4¢, up 1.4¢ since August 3.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Kennedy · Democratic contract

99.3¢

▲ 1.4¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Timothy M. Kennedy by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.7¢ · low 96¢Oct 12

Timothy M. KennedyDemocratic · incumbent

99.3¢

Dennis E. HannonRepublican

3.4¢

795 traded · 786 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Kennedy v Hannon

Metric by metric

Kennedy

Hannon

99.3¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

3.4¢

$2.31M

RaisedFEC, through June 30

No total for Dennis E. Hannon: no report covering this period is on file with the Federal Election Commission.

$1.21M

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

—

U.S. Representativesince 2024

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

New York 26th District

Prior result

D+30.3

2024 general election, won by Timothy M. Kennedy.