Sydney Kamlager-Dove

CA-37

INCUMBENT Safe DThe seat Strong favorite

Every candidate on the November ballot is a Democrat, so the seat cannot change party. The FTP Race Signal reads the seat; the Kalshi figure is Kamlager-Dove's own contract.

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Kamlager-Dove is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Kamlager-Dove at 95¢ against Mota's 9¢, up 1¢ since August 3. Kamlager-Dove leads 100.8 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Kamlager-Dove · Democratic contract

95.0¢

▲ 1.0¢since August 3

Aug 342 daily readings · high 95¢ · low 92¢Oct 12

Sydney Kamlager-DoveDemocratic · incumbent

95.0¢

Samantha MotaDemocratic

9.0¢

22,032 traded · 6,206 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Kamlager-Dove v Mota

Metric by metric

Kamlager-Dove

Mota

95.0¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

9.0¢

$1.15M

RaisedFEC, through June 30 and September 30

$11.4K

$185.5K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30 and September 30

$208

U.S. Representativesince 2023

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

California 37th District

Prior result

Kamlager-Dove +56.6

Kamlager-Dove won 78.3% to 21.7% over Juan Rey (independent) (2024).

Fundraising

100.8 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through September 30.