John Joyce · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Joyce is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Joyce at 96.4¢ against Farnham's 7.5¢, up 0.9¢ since August 3. Joyce leads 43.6 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Joyce · Republican contract

96.4¢

▲ 0.9¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on John Joyce by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.9¢ · low 95.5¢Oct 12

John JoyceRepublican · incumbent

96.4¢

Beth FarnhamDemocratic

7.5¢

2,015 traded · 985 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Joyce v Farnham

Metric by metric

Joyce

Farnham

96.4¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

7.5¢

$2.42M

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$55.3K

$3.76M

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$16.1K

U.S. Representativesince 2019

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Pennsylvania 13th District

Prior result

R+48.4

2024 general election, won by John Joyce.

Fundraising

43.6 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.