Pramila Jayapal · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Jayapal is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Jayapal at 99.5¢ against Sheth's 1.8¢, up 1.5¢ since August 3. Jayapal leads 211.9 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Jayapal · Democratic contract

99.5¢

▲ 1.5¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Pramila Jayapal by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.9¢ · low 97.5¢Oct 12

Pramila JayapalDemocratic · incumbent

99.5¢

Nirav ShethRepublican

1.8¢

612 traded · 609 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Jayapal v Sheth

Metric by metric

Jayapal

Sheth

99.5¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

1.8¢

$2.50M

RaisedFEC, through July 15 and July 22

$11.8K

$1.77M

Cash on handFEC, through July 15 and July 22

$5.0K

U.S. Representativesince 2017

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Washington 7th District

Prior result

D+68.1

2024 general election, won by Pramila Jayapal.

Fundraising

211.9 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 22.