Hakeem S. Jeffries · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Jeffries is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Jeffries at 98.4¢ against Mizrahi's 4.8¢, up 2¢ since August 3.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Jeffries · Democratic contract

98.4¢

▲ 2.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Hakeem S. Jeffries by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.9¢ · low 96.4¢Oct 12

Hakeem S. JeffriesDemocratic · incumbent

98.4¢

Lewis MizrahiRepublican

4.8¢

961 traded · 594 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Jeffries v Mizrahi

Metric by metric

Jeffries

Mizrahi

98.4¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

4.8¢

$14.90M

RaisedFEC, through June 30

No filing on file for Lewis Mizrahi with the Federal Election Commission.

$5.00M

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

—

U.S. Representativesince 2013

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

New York 8th District

Prior result

D+50.6

2024 general election, won by Hakeem S. Jeffries.