Jim Jordan
OH-4What the Signal reads
Jordan is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Jordan at 97.9¢ against Kolasinski's 3.8¢, up 3¢ since August 3. Jordan leads 371 to 1 in money raised.
The market
This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Jim Jordan by name.
2,820 traded · 1,029 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Jordan v Kolasinski
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Ohio 4th District2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Jim Jordan.
Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.
THEIR SEAT WAS REDRAWNR+36.8 → R+42.6
Ohio had to redraw its map before 2026. The bipartisan Ohio Redistricting Commission voted unanimously for a new plan on Oct. 31, 2025, and it stays in place until the next census. It becomes somewhat more Republican, going from Trump +36.8 to Trump +42.6 in the 2024 presidential vote.