Elections Intelligence

Henry C. "Hank" Johnson, Jr.

GA-4U.S. House H architectural icon
INCUMBENT Safe D Strong favorite
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Johnson is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Johnson at 99.5¢ against Duffie's 2.8¢, up 2¢ since August 3.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Johnson · Democratic contract
99.5¢
▲ 2.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Henry C. "Hank" Johnson, Jr. by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.9¢ · low 97.5¢Oct 12
Henry C. "Hank" Johnson, Jr.Democratic · incumbent
99.5¢
James DuffieRepublican
2.8¢

1,715 traded · 1,413 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Johnson v Duffie

Metric by metric
Johnson
Duffie
99.5¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
2.8¢
$402.3K
RaisedFEC, through June 30
No total for James Duffie: no report covering this period is on file with the Federal Election Commission.
$117.9K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
—
U.S. Representativesince 2007
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Georgia 4th District
Prior result
D+51.2

2024 general election, won by Henry C. "Hank" Johnson, Jr..

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.