Glenn Ivey · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Ivey is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Ivey at 99.6¢ against McDermott's 2.5¢, up 7.8¢ since August 3.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Ivey · Democratic contract

99.6¢

▲ 7.8¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Glenn Ivey by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.9¢ · low 91.8¢Oct 12

Glenn IveyDemocratic · incumbent

99.6¢

George E. McDermottRepublican

2.5¢

830 traded · 798 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Ivey v McDermott

Metric by metric

Ivey

McDermott

99.6¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

2.5¢

$674.4K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

No total for George E. McDermott: no report covering this period is on file with the Federal Election Commission.

$459.2K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

—

U.S. Representativesince 2023

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Maryland 4th District

Prior result

D+77.2

2024 general election, won by Glenn Ivey.