Val T. Hoyle · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Hoyle is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Hoyle at 97.1¢ against DeSpain's 5.9¢, up 0.1¢ since August 3. Hoyle leads 1.8 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Hoyle · Democratic contract

97.1¢

▲ 0.1¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Val T. Hoyle by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 98.9¢ · low 94.5¢Oct 12

Val T. HoyleDemocratic · incumbent

97.1¢

Monique DeSpainRepublican

5.9¢

1,854 traded · 1,515 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Hoyle v DeSpain

Metric by metric

Hoyle

DeSpain

97.1¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

5.9¢

$1.22M

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$677.6K

$520.8K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$387.7K

U.S. Representativesince 2023

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Oregon 4th District

Prior result

D+7.8

2024 general election, won by Val T. Hoyle.

Fundraising

1.8 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.