Jared Huffman · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Huffman is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Huffman at 99.7¢ against Littau's 1.9¢, up 4¢ since August 3.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Huffman · Democratic contract

99.7¢

▲ 4.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Jared Huffman by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.8¢ · low 95.7¢Oct 12

Jared HuffmanDemocratic · incumbent

99.7¢

Robin LittauRepublican

1.9¢

1,255 traded · 1,018 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Huffman v Littau

Metric by metric

Huffman

Littau

99.7¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

1.9¢

$978.3K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

No total for Robin Littau: no report covering this period is on file with the Federal Election Commission.

$1.08M

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

—

U.S. Representativesince 2013

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

California 2nd District

Prior result

D+43.8

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Jared Huffman.

THEIR SEAT WAS REDRAWND+45.2 → D+24.6

California voters approved Proposition 50 in November 2025, which replaced the commission-drawn map with one drawn by the Legislature for the 2026, 2028 and 2030 elections. It becomes much less Democratic, going from Harris +45.2 to Harris +24.6 in the 2024 presidential vote.

The record this is read from ↗