Steven Horsford · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Horsford is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Horsford at 96.9¢ against Whipple's 3.8¢, up 9.9¢ since August 3. Horsford leads 3.7 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Horsford · Democratic contract

96.9¢

▲ 9.9¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Steven Horsford by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.6¢ · low 87¢Oct 12

Steven HorsfordDemocratic · incumbent

96.9¢

Cody K. WhippleRepublican

3.8¢

10,852 traded · 6,704 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Horsford v Whipple

Metric by metric

Horsford

Whipple

96.9¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

3.8¢

$3.35M

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$884.7K

$1.50M

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$285.2K

U.S. Representativesince 2019

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Nevada 4th District

Prior result

D+8.1

2024 general election, won by Steven Horsford.

Fundraising

3.7 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.