Elections Intelligence

James A. Himes

CT-4U.S. House H architectural icon
INCUMBENT Safe D Strong favorite
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Himes is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Himes at 99.4¢ against Goldstein's 3.4¢, up 2.8¢ since August 3. Himes leads 29.4 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Himes · Democratic contract
99.4¢
▲ 2.8¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on James A. Himes by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.9¢ · low 96.6¢Oct 12
James A. HimesDemocratic · incumbent
99.4¢
Michael GoldsteinRepublican
3.4¢

1,716 traded · 1,390 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Himes v Goldstein

Metric by metric
Himes
Goldstein
99.4¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
3.4¢
$1.38M
RaisedFEC, through June 30 and July 22
$46.8K
$2.52M
Cash on handFEC, through June 30 and July 22
$41.0K
U.S. Representativesince 2009
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Connecticut 4th District
Prior result
D+23.7

2024 general election, won by James A. Himes.

Fundraising
29.4 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 22.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.