Adelita S. Grijalva · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Grijalva is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Grijalva at 99.7¢ against Butierez's 2.1¢, up 4.3¢ since August 3. Grijalva leads 10.1 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Grijalva · Democratic contract

99.7¢

▲ 4.3¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Adelita S. Grijalva by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.9¢ · low 95.4¢Oct 12

Adelita S. GrijalvaDemocratic · incumbent

99.7¢

Daniel Francis Butierez Sr.Republican

2.1¢

1,030 traded · 876 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Grijalva v Butierez

Metric by metric

Grijalva

Butierez

99.7¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

2.1¢

$2.29M

RaisedFEC, through July 1

$224.4K

$428.0K

Cash on handFEC, through July 1

$11.4K

U.S. Representativesince 2025

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Arizona 7th District

Prior result

D+40.1

2025 general election, won by Adelita S. Grijalva.

Fundraising

10.1 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 1.