Jimmy Gomez
CA-34Every candidate on the November ballot is a Democrat, so the seat cannot change party. The FTP Race Signal reads the seat; the Kalshi figure is Gomez's own contract.
What the Signal reads
Safe D
Gomez is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Gomez at 24¢ against Gonzales-Torres's 77¢, down 23¢ since August 3. Gomez leads 5.1 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Gomez · Democratic contract
24.0¢
▼ 23.0¢since August 3
52,125 traded · 15,932 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Gomez v Gonzales-Torres
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
California 34th DistrictLatest poll
Gonzales-Torres +3
Upswing, D-leaning firm, September 5.
Prior result
55.6 to 44.4
Gomez won 55.6% to 44.4% over another Democrat (2024).
Fundraising
5.1 to 1
Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.