Brett Guthrie · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Guthrie is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Guthrie at 97.7¢ against Wingfield's 4.7¢, up 2.9¢ since August 3. Guthrie leads 624.4 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Guthrie · Republican contract

97.7¢

▲ 2.9¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Brett Guthrie by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 98¢ · low 94.8¢Oct 12

Brett GuthrieRepublican · incumbent

97.7¢

Megan WingfieldDemocratic

4.7¢

3,101 traded · 2,487 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Guthrie v Wingfield

Metric by metric

Guthrie

Wingfield

97.7¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

4.7¢

$4.71M

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$7.5K

$1.72M

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$1.2K

U.S. Representativesince 2009

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Kentucky 2nd District

Prior result

R+46.2

2024 general election, won by Brett Guthrie.

Fundraising

624.4 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.