Julie Fedorchak · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Fedorchak is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Fedorchak at 97.9¢ against Hammer's 2.8¢, up 2.4¢ since August 3. Fedorchak leads 9.1 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Fedorchak · Republican contract

97.9¢

▲ 2.4¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Julie Fedorchak by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 98¢ · low 95.5¢Oct 12

Julie FedorchakRepublican · incumbent

97.9¢

Trygve HammerDemocratic

2.8¢

9,867 traded · 4,461 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Fedorchak v Hammer

Metric by metric

Fedorchak

Hammer

97.9¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

2.8¢

$1.73M

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$190.1K

$1.06M

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$67.4K

U.S. Representativesince 2025

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

North Dakota At-Large District

Prior result

R+38.2

2024 general election, won by Julie Fedorchak.

Fundraising

9.1 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.