Scott Fitzgerald · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Fitzgerald is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Fitzgerald at 97.9¢ against Beck's 3.3¢, up 6.4¢ since August 3. Fitzgerald leads 93.6 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Fitzgerald · Republican contract

97.9¢

▲ 6.4¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Scott Fitzgerald by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 98¢ · low 91.5¢Oct 12

Scott FitzgeraldRepublican · incumbent

97.9¢

Andy BeckDemocratic

3.3¢

10,014 traded · 5,637 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Fitzgerald v Beck

Metric by metric

Fitzgerald

Beck

97.9¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

3.3¢

$1.37M

RaisedFEC, through June 30 and July 22

$14.6K

$1.32M

Cash on handFEC, through June 30 and July 22

$3.2K

U.S. Representativesince 2021

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Wisconsin 5th District

Prior result

R+28.9

2024 general election, won by Scott Fitzgerald.

Fundraising

93.6 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 22.