Sarah Elfreth
MD-3What the Signal reads
Safe D
Elfreth is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Elfreth at 97.4¢ against Flowers's 5.3¢, down 0.7¢ since August 3. Elfreth leads 89.8 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Elfreth · Democratic contract
97.4¢
▼ 0.7¢since August 3
This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Sarah Elfreth by name.
2,192 traded · 1,289 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Elfreth v Flowers
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Maryland 3rd DistrictPrior result
D+21.4
2024 general election, won by Sarah Elfreth.
Fundraising
89.8 to 1
Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.