Elections Intelligence

Sharice Davids

KS-3U.S. House H architectural icon
INCUMBENT Safe D Strong favorite
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Davids is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Davids at 98¢ against Jenkins's 3.1¢, up 6.8¢ since August 3. Davids leads 195 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Davids · Democratic contract
98.0¢
▲ 6.8¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Sharice Davids by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 98.3¢ · low 91.2¢Oct 12
Sharice DavidsDemocratic · incumbent
98.0¢
Eric JenkinsRepublican
3.1¢

15,464 traded · 5,992 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Davids v Jenkins

Metric by metric
Davids
Jenkins
98.0¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
3.1¢
$3.69M
RaisedFEC, through July 15
$18.9K
$1.72M
Cash on handFEC, through July 15
$12.3K
U.S. Representativesince 2019
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Kansas 3rd District
Prior result
D+10.8

2024 general election, won by Sharice Davids.

Fundraising
195 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 15.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.