Debbie Dingell · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Dingell is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Dingell at 98.5¢ against Smiley's 5.5¢, up 6.6¢ since August 3.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Dingell · Democratic contract

98.5¢

▲ 6.6¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Debbie Dingell by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.9¢ · low 91.9¢Oct 12

Debbie DingellDemocratic · incumbent

98.5¢

Heather SmileyRepublican

5.5¢

1,131 traded · 1,112 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Dingell v Smiley

Metric by metric

Dingell

Smiley

98.5¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

5.5¢

$1.19M

RaisedFEC, through July 15

No total for Heather Smiley: no report covering this period is on file with the Federal Election Commission.

$414.9K

Cash on handFEC, through July 15

—

U.S. Representativesince 2015

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Michigan 6th District

Prior result

D+25.5

2024 general election, won by Debbie Dingell.