Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
CA-31What the Signal reads
Cisneros is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Cisneros at 98¢ against Ching's 4¢, up 1.7¢ since August 3. Cisneros leads 8.6 to 1 in money raised.
The market
This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr. by name.
458 traded · 445 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Cisneros v Ching
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
California 31st District2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr..
Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.
THEIR SEAT WAS REDRAWND+16.9 → D+12.2
California voters approved Proposition 50 in November 2025, which replaced the commission-drawn map with one drawn by the Legislature for the 2026, 2028 and 2030 elections. It becomes somewhat less Democratic, going from Harris +16.9 to Harris +12.2 in the 2024 presidential vote.