Judy Chu
CA-28What the Signal reads
Chu is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Chu at 98.3¢ against Verlato's 2.7¢, up 8.1¢ since August 3. Chu leads 3720.4 to 1 in money raised.
The market
This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Judy Chu by name.
3,050 traded · 1,800 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Chu v Verlato
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
California 28th District2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Judy Chu.
Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.
THEIR SEAT WAS REDRAWND+26.9 → D+25.3
California voters approved Proposition 50 in November 2025, which replaced the commission-drawn map with one drawn by the Legislature for the 2026, 2028 and 2030 elections. Its partisan lean barely changes (Harris +26.9 to Harris +25.3 in the 2024 presidential vote).