André Carson · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Carson is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Carson at 98¢ against McAuley's 4.8¢, up 4¢ since August 3.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Carson · Democratic contract

98.0¢

▲ 4.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on André Carson by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 98¢ · low 94¢Oct 12

André CarsonDemocratic · incumbent

98.0¢

Patrick McAuleyRepublican

4.8¢

21,180 traded · 9,230 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Carson v McAuley

Metric by metric

Carson

McAuley

98.0¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

4.8¢

$1.01M

RaisedFEC, through June 30

No total for Patrick McAuley: no report covering this period is on file with the Federal Election Commission.

$621.4K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

—

U.S. Representativesince 2008

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Indiana 7th District

Prior result

D+39.4

2024 general election, won by André Carson.