Joe Courtney · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Courtney is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Courtney at 99.4¢ against Austin's 3.3¢, up 3.4¢ since August 3. Courtney leads 2.6 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Courtney · Democratic contract

99.4¢

▲ 3.4¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Joe Courtney by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.7¢ · low 95.9¢Oct 12

Joe CourtneyDemocratic · incumbent

99.4¢

George AustinRepublican

3.3¢

3,919 traded · 2,886 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Courtney v Austin

Metric by metric

Courtney

Austin

99.4¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

3.3¢

$760.4K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$284.0K

$603.2K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$200.0K

U.S. Representativesince 2007

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Connecticut 2nd District

Prior result

D+16.0

2024 general election, won by Joe Courtney.

Fundraising

2.6 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.