Elections Intelligence

Janelle S. Bynum

OR-5U.S. House H architectural icon
INCUMBENT Safe D Strong favorite
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Bynum is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Bynum at 95.8¢ against Adair's 4.8¢, up 3.6¢ since August 3. Bynum leads 8.8 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Bynum · Democratic contract
95.8¢
▲ 3.6¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Janelle S. Bynum by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.4¢ · low 89¢Oct 12
Janelle S. BynumDemocratic · incumbent
95.8¢
Patti AdairRepublican
4.8¢

6,380 traded · 3,727 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Bynum v Adair

Metric by metric
Bynum
Adair
95.8¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
4.8¢
$3.76M
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$423.9K
$2.72M
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$135.4K
U.S. Representativesince 2025
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Oregon 5th District
Prior result
D+2.7

2024 general election, won by Janelle S. Bynum.

Fundraising
8.8 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.