Wesley Bell · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Bell is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Bell at 99.2¢ against Berry's 3.4¢, up 5.7¢ since August 3.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Bell · Democratic contract

99.2¢

▲ 5.7¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Wesley Bell by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.7¢ · low 93.5¢Oct 12

Wesley BellDemocratic · incumbent

99.2¢

Paul Berry IIIRepublican

3.4¢

2,594 traded · 1,786 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Bell v Berry

Metric by metric

Bell

Berry

99.2¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

3.4¢

$3.56M

RaisedFEC, through July 15

No filing on file for Paul Berry III with the Federal Election Commission.

$1.09M

Cash on handFEC, through July 15

—

U.S. Representativesince 2025

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Missouri 1st District

Prior result

D+57.6

2024 general election, won by Wesley Bell.