Shontel M. Brown · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Brown is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Brown at 99.7¢ against Kirchner's 1.6¢, up 5.2¢ since August 3.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Brown · Democratic contract

99.7¢

▲ 5.2¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Shontel M. Brown by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.9¢ · low 94.5¢Oct 12

Shontel M. BrownDemocratic · incumbent

99.7¢

Mike KirchnerRepublican

1.6¢

1,479 traded · 673 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Brown v Kirchner

Metric by metric

Brown

Kirchner

99.7¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

1.6¢

$1.18M

RaisedFEC, through June 30

No total for Mike Kirchner: no report covering this period is on file with the Federal Election Commission.

$1.16M

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

—

U.S. Representativesince 2021

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Ohio 11th District

Prior result

D+58.7

2024 general election, won by Shontel M. Brown.