Jack Bergman · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Likely R

Bergman is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Bergman at 90.1¢ against Barr's 11¢, up 3.1¢ since August 3. Bergman leads 2.3 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Bergman · Republican contract

90.1¢

▲ 3.1¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Jack Bergman by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 97.6¢ · low 87¢Oct 12

Jack BergmanRepublican · incumbent

90.1¢

Callie BarrDemocratic

11.0¢

23,874 traded · 6,932 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Bergman v Barr

Metric by metric

Bergman

Barr

90.1¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

11.0¢

$1.92M

RaisedFEC, through July 15

$824.3K

$660.2K

Cash on handFEC, through July 15

$530.7K

U.S. Representativesince 2017

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Michigan 1st District

Prior result

R+21.2

2024 general election, won by Jack Bergman.

Fundraising

2.3 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 15.