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Nanette Diaz Barragán

U.S. House H architectural icon OfficeHouse Democratic Strong favorite
INCUMBENT ON THE 2026 BALLOT SAFE D KALSHI · 99.7¢ · CHECKED 1:29 AM ET
WHAT THE SIGNAL READS ON BARRAGÁN
THE SEAT THEY ARE IN

Safe D

Nanette Diaz Barragán is the sitting U.S. Representative for California's 44th district and is defending it, a seat the band rates Safe D. California's 44th, which they hold, was redrawn 1.4 points toward the Democrats; the market prices their contract at 99.7¢ against Angel's 5.1¢, up 2.7¢ across 25 observation days; and they have raised 57 dollars for every one of Angel's.

MARKET · PARTY WINNER Kalshi ↗
Nanette Diaz Barragán · Democratic · KXHOUSERACE-CA44-26-D

99.7¢

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Nanette Diaz Barragán by name.

▲ 2.7¢

since Aug 3

2026-08-0325 observation days · high 99.9¢ · low 97.0¢2026-09-21
Nanette Diaz Barragán Democratic · incumbent
99.7¢

Settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on this candidate by name.

Genevieve Angel Republican
5.1¢

Settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on this candidate by name.

DEPTH ON THIS BOOK 418 traded · 366 open

Sides may not sum to 100. Prices are the yes ask. checked 1:29 AM ET

BARRAGÁN AGAINST ANGEL · METRIC BY METRIC
Barragán
Angel
MARKETchecked 1:29 AM ET

99.7¢

5.1¢

RAISED THIS CYCLEFederal Election Commission, through June 30, 2026

$786K

57:1 against Genevieve Angel

$14K

WHAT THEY HOLD NOW

U.S. Representative

California's 44th district · since 2025 · defending it

Holds no office

Challenger

THEIR SEAT WAS REDRAWN D+33.8 → D+35.2

The Legislature enacted the congressional map in AB 604, chaptered 21 August 2025 as Chapter 96, Statutes of 2025, and voters authorized its use through ACA 8, Proposition 50, on 4 November 2025; it applies to the 2026, 2028 and 2030 congressional elections.

The record this is read from ↗

THE 2026 RACE · CALIFORNIA 44TH DISTRICT
LATEST POLLNot yet collectedno qualifying public poll retrieved for this race
PRIOR MARGIN+42.752024 general election · verified against official results
STANDING · THIS SEAT
+42.752024 general election margin — verified against official results
57:1fundraising ratio v Angel · FEC period 06-30
FUNDRAISING
$785.8Kraised
$1.09Mcash on hand
through June 30, 2026 · checked Aug 31
· Angel: $13.9K / $8.7K CoH
COMPARE V ANGEL ⇄