Brendan F. Boyle · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Boyle is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Boyle at 98.8¢ against Arriaga's 3.4¢, down 0.2¢ since August 3.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Boyle · Democratic contract

98.8¢

▼ 0.2¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Brendan F. Boyle by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.9¢ · low 98.6¢Oct 12

Brendan F. BoyleDemocratic · incumbent

98.8¢

Jessica ArriagaRepublican

3.4¢

60 traded · 54 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Boyle v Arriaga

Metric by metric

Boyle

Arriaga

98.8¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

3.4¢

$2.45M

RaisedFEC, through June 30

No total for Jessica Arriaga: no report covering this period is on file with the Federal Election Commission.

$5.56M

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

—

U.S. Representativesince 2015

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Pennsylvania 2nd District

Prior result

D+43.0

2024 general election, won by Brendan F. Boyle.