Elections Intelligence

Mike Bost

IL-12U.S. House H architectural icon
INCUMBENT Safe R Strong favorite
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Bost is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Bost at 98¢ against Fortier's 3.6¢, up 4.9¢ since August 3. Bost leads 15 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Bost · Republican contract
98.0¢
▲ 4.9¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Mike Bost by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 98¢ · low 93.1¢Oct 12
Mike BostRepublican · incumbent
98.0¢
Julie FortierDemocratic
3.6¢

8,400 traded · 4,893 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Bost v Fortier

Metric by metric
Bost
Fortier
98.0¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
3.6¢
$1.33M
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$88.1K
$790.0K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$59.8K
U.S. Representativesince 2015
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Illinois 12th District
Prior result
R+48.4

2024 general election, won by Mike Bost.

Fundraising
15 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.