Elections Intelligence

Donald S. Beyer, Jr.

VA-8U.S. House H architectural icon
INCUMBENT Safe D Strong favorite
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Beyer is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Beyer at 98.1¢ against Sabio's 2¢, up 1.1¢ since August 3. Beyer leads 96.9 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Beyer · Democratic contract
98.1¢
▲ 1.1¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Donald S. Beyer, Jr. by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 98.9¢ · low 97¢Oct 12
Donald S. Beyer, Jr.Democratic · incumbent
98.1¢
Tony SabioRepublican
2.0¢

13,981 traded · 6,708 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Beyer v Sabio

Metric by metric
Beyer
Sabio
98.1¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
2.0¢
$2.13M
RaisedFEC, through July 15
$21.9K
$838.9K
Cash on handFEC, through July 15
$17.9K
U.S. Representativesince 2015
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Virginia 8th District
Prior result
D+46.9

2024 general election, won by Donald S. Beyer, Jr..

Fundraising
96.9 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 15.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.