Suzanne Bonamici · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Bonamici is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Bonamici at 99.4¢ against Kahl's 3.7¢, up 8.7¢ since August 3. Bonamici leads 182.8 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Bonamici · Democratic contract

99.4¢

▲ 8.7¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Suzanne Bonamici by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.8¢ · low 90.7¢Oct 12

Suzanne BonamiciDemocratic · incumbent

99.4¢

Barbara KahlRepublican

3.7¢

659 traded · 658 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Bonamici v Kahl

Metric by metric

Bonamici

Kahl

99.4¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

3.7¢

$816.8K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$4.5K

$572.4K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$212

U.S. Representativesince 2012

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Oregon 1st District

Prior result

D+40.5

2024 general election, won by Suzanne Bonamici.

Fundraising

182.8 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.