Yassamin Ansari · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Ansari is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Ansari at 99.7¢, up 7.2¢ since August 3. Ansari leads 2746.2 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Ansari · Democratic contract

99.7¢

▲ 7.2¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Yassamin Ansari by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.9¢ · low 92.5¢Oct 12

Yassamin AnsariDemocratic · incumbent

99.7¢

Republican lineNo candidate is named on this contract.

1.6¢

Alan Aversaother

no contract on this candidate in the market

535 traded · 518 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Ansari v Aversa

Metric by metric

Ansari

Aversa

99.7¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

No contract on Alan Aversa.

$1.44M

RaisedFEC, through June 30 and July 1

$523

$547.3K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30 and July 1

$0

U.S. Representativesince 2025

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Arizona 3rd District

Prior result

D+41.8

2024 general election, won by Yassamin Ansari.

Fundraising

2746.2 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 1.