Elections Intelligence
PROFILES / U.S. HOUSE / CALIFORNIA

Pete Aguilar

Democratic · U.S. Representative, California 33rd District · seeking another term · first took office 2025-01-03
INCUMBENT ON THE 2026 BALLOT SAFE D KALSHI · 98.4¢ · CHECKED Aug 27
THE 2026 RACE · CALIFORNIA 33RD DISTRICTFull race page →
OPPONENTStephanie M. Vargas (R)Challenger
FTP RACE SIGNALSafe DAI-enabled synthesis of attributed evidence · not a publisher rating
KALSHI · Aug 27D 98.4¢ · R 6.7¢
LATEST POLLNot yet collectedno qualifying public poll retrieved for this race
STANDING · THIS SEAT
+17.62024 general election margin — verified against official results
CAMPAIGN FINANCE · FECPULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 06-30
$4.72Mraised
$3.46Mcash on hand
BALLOT & DATES
Top-two primary06-02 · HELD
GeneralNov 3, 2026
Top-two field settled · both advancers on the November ballot
COMPARE V VARGAS ⇄