Elections Intelligence

Alma S. Adams

NC-12U.S. House H architectural icon
INCUMBENT Safe D Strong favorite
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Adams is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Adams at 98.5¢ against Codiga's 4.6¢, up 3.4¢ since August 3. Adams leads 12.9 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Adams · Democratic contract
98.5¢
▲ 3.4¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Alma S. Adams by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.9¢ · low 95.1¢Oct 12
Alma S. AdamsDemocratic · incumbent
98.5¢
Jack CodigaRepublican
4.6¢

2,766 traded · 1,472 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Adams v Codiga

Metric by metric
Adams
Codiga
98.5¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
4.6¢
$370.5K
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$28.7K
$456.6K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$3
U.S. Representativesince 2014
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

North Carolina 12th District
Prior result
D+48.0

2024 general election, won by Alma S. Adams.

Fundraising
12.9 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.