Robert B. Aderholt · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Aderholt is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Aderholt at 99¢ against Pusczek's 1.4¢, up 2.2¢ since August 3. Aderholt leads 65.5 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Aderholt · Republican contract

99.0¢

▲ 2.2¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Robert B. Aderholt by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99¢ · low 96.8¢Oct 12

Robert B. AderholtRepublican · incumbent

99.0¢

Amanda N. PusczekDemocratic

1.4¢

2,250 traded · 1,224 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Aderholt v Pusczek

Metric by metric

Aderholt

Pusczek

99.0¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

1.4¢

$1.02M

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$15.6K

$749.7K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$396

U.S. Representativesince 1997

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Alabama 4th District

Prior result

R+100.0

2024 general election, won by Robert B. Aderholt.

Fundraising

65.5 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.